27–31 May 2024
OAU Campus, Ile-Ife, Nigeria
Africa/Lagos timezone

OPTIMAL ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF D1 AND D2 VACCINES ON MEASLES VIRUS

28 May 2024, 12:50
10m
AFRIGIST, Main - Conference Hall (OAU Campus, Ile-Ife, Nigeria)

AFRIGIST, Main - Conference Hall

OAU Campus, Ile-Ife, Nigeria

Road 1, O.A.U Campus
250

Speakers

Mr Matthew Ogunniran Patience Adama (Kwara State University, Malete, Nigeria)

Description

Abstract
Measles, an acute viral infectious disease caused by the measles morbillivirus, belongs to the paramyxovirus family. It spreads through direct contact and airborne transmission, primarily infecting the respiratory tract through coughs, sneezes, and nasal secretions. The prevalence of measles is a concern in African and developing countries where overpopulation and limited birth control measures exist. Outbreaks in such regions pose significant risks. In this study, a mathematical model was developed to analyze measles transmission, considering various immunization strategies, and the effectiveness of the Two-Dose vaccination D1(t) and D2(t). A control model was formulated, and the Disease-Free Equilibrium (DFE) state was determined. The basic reproduction number, denoted as R₀, was computed to assess the potential spread of the virus. Local stability analysis of the DFE was conducted using Jacobian Matrix Techniques, revealing that the DFE is locally asymptotically stable when R₀ is less than 1. The findings suggest that global eradication of measles is feasible if R₀ remains below one.

Key words: Basic Reproduction Number R₀, D1 and D2 Vaccination, Jacobian Matrix, Measles, Optimal Control, Stability

Primary author

Patience Adama (Kwara State University, Malete, Nigeria)

Co-authors

Presentation materials